In Oslo on October 11, in Group I of the European Zone of the World Cup Qualifiers, Norway beat Israel 5-0 at home - Haaland still scored a hat trick even though two penalty kicks were saved.他的个人国家队进球数超过了 50 个，46 场比赛打入 51 个进球。此役过后，挪威队6战全胜积18分领跑小组。多家有影响力的媒体形容这“距离自1998年以来首次进军世界杯仅剩最后一步”。 If the next major games like the match against Estonia are successfully won, or if the competitors lose points, the qualification will be officially confirmed. Comparison of Top Four forwards Cristiano Ronaldo Nationality: Portugal Age: 40 Goals: 50 Appearances: 114 Goals per Game: 0.44 NationalTeam Team (Semi-Finals and Above): European Cup Champion (2016) European Cup Runner-Up (2004) European Cup Semi-Finals (2012) World Cup 4th Place (2006) Mesi (Lionel) Mesi) Nationality:阿根廷 年龄：38 进球：50 进球：50 目标：50个进球：50个进球：50个进球：50个朗古宁：50个进球：50个进球：出场：107场均进球：0.47个国家队荣誉（半决赛及以上）：世界杯冠军（2022年）世界杯亚军（2014年）美洲杯冠军（2021年2024年）美洲杯亚军（2007年） 2015 2016) Mbappe (Kylian) Mbappé) Nationality: France Age: 26 Goals: 50 出场次数：每场90个进球：0.56个国家队荣誉（半决赛及以上）：世界杯冠军（2018年）世界杯亚军（2022年）欧洲杯半决赛（2024年）埃尔林·哈兰德国籍：挪威年龄：25个进球：50个出场次数：每场46个进球：1.09个国家队球队（半决赛及以上）：没有理由 it is "so difficult" para in haaland to reach this point?挪威不是传统豪门，中前场扎实的创造力和厚度不如阿根廷、法国、葡萄牙。 The number of quality ball feeds and two-point kicks is limited. Harland relies more on off-the-ball movement and finishing to converthalf-chances into goals. Reaching 50 goals in 46 games is essentially about achieving extreme excellence in a "smaller opportunity pool" environment.长期的时间表并不是一个优势。连续多年缺席各大赛事决赛，意味着每年的正式比赛和淘汰赛几乎没有“加赛”，总进球数的上限自然就降低了。 Stars from strong teams often stack games and pointsg goals in the later stages of major competitions, but Norway rarely enjoys this bonus. In other words, his milestone is like "climbing against the tide", with a higher gold content than superficial numbers. ②未来超越梅西、C罗、姆巴佩的可能性是由前锋年龄曲线和历史基准锚定的（C罗和梅西的长期职业生涯进球率约为0.63/0.59），再考虑到正式比赛比例增加后的自然下降。 Haaland's "more stable" efficiency range for the national team over the next 8-10 years is 0.6-0.8 goals/game. Under this assumption, the probability assessment is given: surpassing Ronaldo (≈140+goals): 5%. Achieving this requires years of high attendance, mataas excellence, and Norway reaching the World Cup/European Cup multiple times and deep. More than Messi (100 Goals)): 20%. Between the baseline and optimism, the key lies in whether Norway can enter the finals and increase the number of knockout rounds. Pass MBappe (comparing career totals between the two): 30%. The number of games and depth of competitions in France is more beneficial. Haaland will have to rely on increased efficiency and prolonged health to "press the line."一句话：决定这些概率的第一个变量不是哈兰德的射门，而是挪威能否更正规地进入世界杯/欧洲杯，走得更远； As long as the "Opportunity Pool" is raised, the race's cumulative upper limit并且上述概率将同时提高。 Special Statement: The above contents (including photos or videos if any) are uploaded and published by users of the self-media platform "NetEase Account".本平台仅提供信息存储服务。 注：以上内容（包括图片和视频，如有）由网易HAO用户上传发布，网易HAO为社交媒体平台，仅提供信息存储服务。